How do epidemiologists predict how outbreaks will go?

All those predictions during COVID-19 didn’t come out of nowhere. There was a method to the madness.

René F. Najera, MPH, DrPH
Microbial Instincts
8 min readMar 22, 2024

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Photo by Markus Spiske on Unsplash

Have you ever wondered how scientists predict the spread of diseases like the flu or COVID-19? They use something called an SIR model, which is a tool that helps them understand how a disease can move…

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René F. Najera, MPH, DrPH
Microbial Instincts

DrPH in Epidemiology. Associate/JHBSPH. Adjunct/GMU. Epidemiologist. Father. Husband. (He/Him/His/El)